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Report
Markets keep buying the dip because liquidity remains plentiful. That buffer lasts through 2026; the bigger question is what happens when it thins in 2027....
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Report
Tensions between Iran, the US, and Israel have reached their highest point since mid-March – or at least since the ceasefire announcement on April 8 – this week. President Trump responded to the downing of an AH-64 Apache helicopter with air strikes on Iran on June 9. Subsequently, Iran and Israel e...
11 Jun 2026
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Report
Today’s ECB rate hike is not the beginning of a hiking cycle. Growth concerns will soon move to the forefront of ECB policy decisions, preventing further tightening....
11 Jun 2026
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Report
The Bank of Canada left rates unchanged and emphasized inflation risks from higher oil prices. We discuss why inflation and labor market data argue against the tightening currently priced....
10 Jun 2026
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May CPI data show no evidence of passthrough from energy prices to core inflation. This will keep the Fed on hold for the time being....
10 Jun 2026
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Report
Rising volatility in Korean markets captures a late-cycle surge in which euphoria and drawdown risk are rising together. While KOSPI momentum remains intact, the bigger opportunity may be emerging in the increasingly mispriced KRW, which could rally meaningfully as portfolio flow headwinds fade....
10 Jun 2026
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Report
Midterms matter but geopolitics are the main risk this year. Markets will eventually refocus on geopolitical and inflation risks, raising Fed rate hike odds and supporting US dollar and stocks over global counterparts this year....
10 Jun 2026
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Report
For the first time since… 2022… the GeoMacro team is starting to contemplate the end of the cycle in a serious way....
09 Jun 2026
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Report
The populist backlash against AI could result in bipartisan regulation in 2027, but is especially likely to prompt tax hikes from 2029....
09 Jun 2026
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Report
In this screener report, we explore opportunities in: US copper beneficiaries; Australian Materials, Energy, and Industrial stocks; and US reinvestment-led Tech stocks....
09 Jun 2026