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FICC

| Currencies

Near-term trades and longer-term views on every major developed and emerging market currency.

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In this report, we gauge the outlook for the dollar given client visits in Africa.
In this Insight, we revisit our "higher for longer" theme for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, in light of the latest central bank meeting. In conclusion, we are inching towards a more dovish RBNZ ahead. Ergo, we recommend some fixed income and currency trades.
Special Report This Special Report argues that rate cuts will come sooner in Canada than the US and offers how investors can profit from this.
In this report, we review our trade recommendations based on incoming data in the last month.
An update to our views on UK rates and currency following today’s Bank of England meeting.
Updated views on US Treasury yields and the dollar following today’s FOMC meeting.
Special Report The UK labor market remains far too tight to expect wage growth to slow to levels consistent with the Bank of England inflation target. A true recession with rising unemployment is needed to finally slay the UK inflation beast. 2024 rate cuts are off the table, with the central bank having to keep monetary policy tighter for longer than markets expect and the UK economy now rebounding. We recommend downgrading UK gilts to underweight in global bond portfolios, while also looking for opportunities to buy the British pound on pullbacks versus the euro, Canadian dollar and Swedish krona.
In this report, we review what our technical indicators are telling us about the G10 currencies.
At today’s monetary policy meeting, the ECB gave strong hints that rate cuts will begin as soon as the next meeting in June. In this Insight, we share our thoughts on today’s meeting and discuss the implications for European bond yields and the euro.
In this insight, we calibrate our investment views based on the latest Bank of Canada decision.